题目
1.36 Which of the following sentences uses data for prediction?A. The company reported a 10% increase in sales last quarter.B. Based on historical trends, the stock price is expected to rise by 8% next month.C. The survey results show that 60% of customers prefer the new product design.D. The average temperature in July was 30 degrees Celsius.
1.36 Which of the following sentences uses data for prediction?
A. The company reported a 10% increase in sales last quarter.
B. Based on historical trends, the stock price is expected to rise by 8% next month.
C. The survey results show that 60% of customers prefer the new product design.
D. The average temperature in July was 30 degrees Celsius.
题目解答
答案
B. Based on historical trends, the stock price is expected to rise by 8% next month.
解析
考查要点：本题主要考查学生对“数据用于预测”的理解，需要区分事实陈述与预测性推断。
解题核心：
- 关键点1：预测通常基于历史数据，指向未来可能发生的情况。
- 关键点2：事实陈述仅描述已发生或当前的数据，不涉及未来推断。
- 破题关键：寻找包含“基于历史趋势/数据”“预期/预计”等关键词的选项，判断其是否通过数据推断未来。
选项分析
选项A
内容：公司上季度销售额增长10%。
判断：描述已发生的事实，未涉及预测。
选项B
内容：基于历史趋势，预计下月股价上涨8%。
判断：明确使用“历史趋势”（历史数据）推断未来股价，符合预测特征。
选项C
内容：调查显示60%顾客偏好新设计。
判断：呈现调查结果，未对未来的顾客行为进行推断。
选项D
内容：七月平均气温为30度。
判断：总结过去数据，无预测成分。
结论：只有选项B通过历史数据对未来进行推断，属于预测。